← Ligue 2 2020 · Sat, Jan 30, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: Romain Delpech, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp win | 51% | 1.92 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
| Pau FC win | 21% | 4.62 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp −0.5 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Pau FC −0.5 | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.71 |
| Over | 44% | 2.21 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | 🟨 | Scotty Sadzoute · Pau FC |
| 27' | ⚽ | Romain Armand · Pau FC |
| 34' | 🟨 | Jérémy Livolant · Guingamp |
| 36' | ⚽ | Romain Armand · Pau FC |
| 55' | ⚽ | Yannick Gomis · Guingamp |
| 59' | ⚽ | Baptiste Roux · Guingamp |
| 64' | 🟨 | Victor Lobry · Pau FC |
| 76' | ⚽ | Ebenezer Assifuah · Pau FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 15 | Shots | 14 |
| 7 | On target | 6 |
| 7 | Corners | 5 |
| 11 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Guingamp | Pau FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.23 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stade du Roudourou |
| coach days | 182.00 | 213.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.17 | 2.23 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.34 |
| elo | 1452.14 | 1381.52 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.61 | -50.22 |
| eye test v1 | -0.52 | -1.53 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.22 | 0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.10 | 57.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 0.52 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | 0.71 |
| league points | 22.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 9.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.20 | 67.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.80 | 40.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 0.61 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -7.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 7.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.16 | -1.52 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 1.80 |
| squad age | 26.26 | 27.35 |
| state index | -0.36 | -1.64 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.36 | -0.50 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.14 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.20 |