← Ligue 2 2020 · Tue, Jan 26, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: Olivier Thual, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Paris FC win | 47% | 2.05 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 |
| Valenciennes win | 24% | 4.10 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valenciennes +0.5 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Paris FC +0.5 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.85 |
| Over | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 28' | 🟨 | Marvin Gakpa · Paris FC |
| 36' | 🟨 | Ousmane Kanté · Paris FC |
| 52' | 🟨 | Joeffrey Cuffaut · Valenciennes |
| 59' | ⚽ | Joeffrey Cuffaut · Valenciennes |
| 69' | ⚽ | Kevin Cabral · Valenciennes |
| 76' | 🟨 | Gaëtan Laura · Paris FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 17 |
| 5 | On target | 7 |
| 1 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Valenciennes | Paris FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.61 | 0.47 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stade du Hainaut |
| coach days | 605.00 | 391.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.95 | 2.91 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1490.79 | 1503.06 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.92 | 5.05 |
| eye test v1 | -0.37 | 0.27 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.37 | 0.67 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 47.20 | 55.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.34 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.57 | 0.63 |
| league points | 29.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.20 | 78.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.00 | 51.60 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 1.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.00 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.18 | 0.28 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 26.15 | 27.71 |
| state index | -0.30 | -0.15 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.68 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.20 |