← Ligue 2 2020 · Mon, Jan 25, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: Mehdi Mokhtari, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Toulouse FC win | 39% | 2.50 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.06 |
| Sochaux win | 30% | 3.26 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sochaux +0.25 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Toulouse FC +0.25 | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.64 |
| Over | 41% | 2.34 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 39' | 🟨 | Bryan Lasme · Sochaux |
| 54' | ⚽ | Bafodé Diakité · Toulouse FC |
| 55' | 🟨 | Salem M'Bakata · Sochaux |
| 75' | 🟨 | Branco van den Boomen · Toulouse FC |
| 90' | 🟨 | Steve Ambri · Sochaux |
| 90' | 🟨 | Manu Koné · Toulouse FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 14 |
| 6 | On target | 7 |
| 2 | Corners | 5 |
| 13 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sochaux | Toulouse FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stade Auguste-Bonal |
| coach days | 786.00 | 238.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 2.71 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1482.35 | 1550.24 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 20.93 | 45.62 |
| eye test v1 | 0.49 | 0.84 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.41 | -0.55 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.60 | 65.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.49 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.72 |
| league points | 31.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.80 | 79.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.80 | 54.40 |
| rest days | 9.24 | 9.24 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.41 | 1.90 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 14.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.08 | 0.56 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 6.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.20 |
| squad age | 25.57 | 24.00 |
| state index | 0.09 | 0.81 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.46 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |