← Ligue 2 2020 · Sat, Jan 23, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: Arnaud Baert, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen win | 38% | 2.55 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.01 |
| Rodez win | 30% | 3.43 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rodez −0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Caen −0.25 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 64% | 1.49 |
| Over | 36% | 2.71 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | ⚽ | Pierre Bardy · Rodez |
| 18' | ⚽ | Pierre Bardy · Rodez |
| 26' | 🟨 | Jordan Leborgne · Rodez |
| 27' | ⚽ (pen) | Alexandre Mendy · Caen |
| 32' | 🟨 | Julien Celestine · Rodez |
| 71' | 🟨 | Jessy Deminguet · Caen |
| 89' | 🟨 | Jonathan Rivierez · Caen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 5 | Shots | 8 |
| 1 | On target | 7 |
| 2 | Corners | 6 |
| 19 | Fouls | 20 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Caen | Rodez |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.50 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.25 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.44 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stade Michel d'Ornano |
| coach days | 480.00 | 2033.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 1.91 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1477.29 | 1405.09 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -17.91 | 11.00 |
| eye test v1 | 0.05 | -0.52 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.37 | -0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.50 | 61.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.47 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | — |
| league points | 29.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.80 | 74.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.60 | 49.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 0.90 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.20 | 2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.12 | -0.27 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 26.09 | 26.46 |
| state index | -0.69 | -0.17 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.13 | 0.01 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |