← Ligue 2 2020 · Sat, Jan 16, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: Eric Wattellier, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AJ Auxerre win | 60% | 1.59 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.00 |
| Chateauroux win | 15% | 6.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Chateauroux −1 | 54% | 1.82 |
| AJ Auxerre −1 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.86 |
| Under | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ | Kévin Fortuné · AJ Auxerre |
| 36' | ⚽ | Yanis Merdji · Chateauroux |
| 66' | ⚽ | Hamza Sakhi · AJ Auxerre |
| 79' | ⚽ | Gauthier Hein · AJ Auxerre |
| 90' | ⚽ | Yanis Begraoui · AJ Auxerre |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 11 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 13 | Fouls | 14 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | AJ Auxerre | Chateauroux |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.46 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.38 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps |
| coach days | 565.00 | 15.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.69 | 2.21 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.39 |
| elo | 1520.47 | 1349.60 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 16.78 | -22.02 |
| eye test v1 | 1.15 | -0.71 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.38 | -0.28 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 69.20 | 56.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.52 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | — |
| league points | 36.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 12.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 9.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.60 | 74.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.60 | 43.40 |
| rest days | 7.17 | 7.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.80 | 0.65 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.20 | -5.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.60 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | 1.03 | -0.67 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.70 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 27.94 | 27.07 |
| state index | 0.39 | -1.36 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.52 | -0.41 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.40 |