← Ligue 2 2020 · Mon, Jan 11, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: Bastien Dechepy, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Toulouse FC win | 41% | 2.37 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.23 |
| Caen win | 28% | 3.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen +0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Toulouse FC +0.25 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.79 |
| Over | 46% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | ⚽ | Kelian Nsona · Caen |
| 18' | 🟨 | Alexandre Mendy · Caen |
| 18' | ⚽ | Alexandre Mendy · Caen |
| 32' | 🟨 | Kelvin Amian · Toulouse FC |
| 38' | 🟨 | Deiver Machado · Toulouse FC |
| 40' | 🟨 | Yoann Court · Caen |
| 45' | ⚽ | Bafodé Diakité · Toulouse FC |
| 78' | ⚽ | Nathan N'Goumou · Toulouse FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 13 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 2 | Corners | 8 |
| 10 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Caen | Toulouse FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.49 | 0.49 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.46 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stade Michel d'Ornano |
| coach days | 468.00 | 224.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.40 | 2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 2.55 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1486.50 | 1537.33 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.02 | 45.64 |
| eye test v1 | -0.46 | 1.76 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.26 | 0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.40 | 65.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.68 |
| league points | 28.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.40 | 80.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.00 | 54.60 |
| rest days | 6.03 | 6.03 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.47 | 1.89 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.40 | 6.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 18.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.55 | 0.61 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 6.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 7.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 8.20 |
| squad age | 26.16 | 24.70 |
| state index | -0.46 | 0.95 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.12 | -0.30 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.34 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.60 |