← Ligue 2 2020 · Tue, Jan 5, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Remi Landry, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AJ Auxerre win | 53% | 1.85 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.50 |
| Caen win | 20% | 4.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AJ Auxerre −0.5 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Caen −0.5 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.80 |
| Over | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | 🟨 | Gautier Lloris · AJ Auxerre |
| 6' | 🟨 | Hugo Vandermersch · Caen |
| 53' | ⚽ | Remy Dugimont · AJ Auxerre |
| 81' | ⚽ | Benjamin Jeannot · Caen |
| 90' | 🟥 | Gauthier Hein · AJ Auxerre |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 20 | Shots | 6 |
| 7 | On target | 4 |
| 10 | Corners | 4 |
| 13 | Fouls | 16 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | AJ Auxerre | Caen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.44 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.48 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps |
| coach days | 554.00 | 462.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | -2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.18 | 1.48 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.24 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1520.73 | 1483.78 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 32.54 | -8.92 |
| eye test v1 | 1.06 | -0.75 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.08 | 0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.10 | 59.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.58 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | — |
| league points | 34.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 10.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.60 | 75.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 61.00 | 49.80 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.41 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.89 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.60 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 8.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.19 | -0.18 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.10 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 27.44 | 24.88 |
| state index | 0.82 | -0.31 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.93 | 0.37 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |