← Ligue 2 2020 · Tue, Jan 5, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Nicolas Rainville, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valenciennes win | 38% | 2.59 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.01 |
| Nancy win | 30% | 3.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valenciennes +0 | 55% | 1.76 |
| Nancy +0 | 45% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.60 |
| Over | 40% | 2.42 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 45' | ⚽ | Baptiste Guillaume · Valenciennes |
| 52' | ⚽ | Kevin Cabral · Valenciennes |
| 55' | 🟥 | Rosario Latouchent · Nancy |
| 59' | ⚽ | Mickaël Biron · Nancy |
| 74' | 🟨 | Metehan Güçlü · Valenciennes |
| 77' | ⚽ | Kenny Rocha Santos · Nancy |
| 90' | 🟥 | Maxime Spano · Valenciennes |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Ousmane Cissokho · Nancy |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 14 |
| 7 | On target | 6 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 18 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 1 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Valenciennes | Nancy |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.49 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| venue | Stade du Hainaut |
| coach days | 584.00 | 554.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.33 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.79 | 2.69 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1488.98 | 1407.93 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 10.17 | -20.97 |
| eye test v1 | -0.63 | -1.03 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.04 | 0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.60 | 59.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.58 |
| league points | 25.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 10.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.60 | 71.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.40 | 48.00 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.39 | 0.78 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 7.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.43 | -0.60 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 2.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 25.73 | 27.13 |
| state index | -0.02 | -1.27 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.40 | 0.39 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.10 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.15 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.20 |