← Ligue 2 2020 · Tue, Jan 5, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Willy Delajod, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Toulouse FC win | 42% | 2.37 |
| Paris FC win | 29% | 3.40 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.42 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Paris FC −0.25 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Toulouse FC −0.25 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.78 |
| Under | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | 🟨 | Anthony Rouault · Toulouse FC |
| 13' | 🟨 | Check Oumar Diakité · Paris FC |
| 14' | 🟨 | Steven Moreira · Toulouse FC |
| 18' | 🟨 | Brecht Dejaegere · Toulouse FC |
| 32' | 🟨 | Anthony Rouault · Toulouse FC |
| 32' | 🟥 | Anthony Rouault · Toulouse FC |
| 57' | 🟥 | Axel Bamba · Paris FC |
| 66' | ⚽ | Stijn Spierings · Toulouse FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 12 |
| 6 | On target | 6 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 16 | Fouls | 18 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Toulouse FC | Paris FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.46 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.46 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stadium de Toulouse |
| coach days | 218.00 | 370.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.91 | 2.82 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1529.89 | 1498.75 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 54.36 | -15.23 |
| eye test v1 | 1.75 | -0.39 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.22 | 0.45 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 67.60 | 57.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.70 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.64 |
| league points | 33.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 11.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.60 | 77.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.20 | 56.60 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.83 | 1.72 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 18.40 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.68 | 0.54 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.50 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 8.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 24.47 | 27.42 |
| state index | 0.92 | -0.21 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.21 | 0.61 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |