← Ligue 2 2020 · Tue, Jan 5, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Benjamin Lepaysant, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Amiens win | 36% | 2.72 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.97 |
| Guingamp win | 31% | 3.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Amiens +0 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Guingamp +0 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 62% | 1.55 |
| Over | 38% | 2.54 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Yannick Gomis · Guingamp |
| 15' | 🟨 | Sikou Niakaté · Guingamp |
| 16' | ⚽ (pen) | Arnaud Lusamba · Amiens |
| 35' | 🟨 | Iron Gomis · Amiens |
| 37' | ⚽ | Frantzdy Pierrot · Guingamp |
| 44' | 🟨 | Chadrac Akolo · Amiens |
| 72' | 🟨 | Youssouf Assogba · Amiens |
| 83' | 🟨 | Nicholas Opoku · Amiens |
| 85' | ⚽ | Mickaël Alphonse · Amiens |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 12 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 2 | Corners | 5 |
| 14 | Fouls | 17 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Guingamp | Amiens |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.49 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stade du Roudourou |
| coach days | 157.00 | 96.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.51 | 2.99 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1442.38 | 1524.15 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -30.39 | 25.13 |
| eye test v1 | -0.31 | 0.11 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.02 | -0.27 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.50 | 60.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.78 |
| league points | 16.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 11.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.00 | 76.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.00 | 55.60 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 0.89 | 1.28 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.80 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.14 | 0.34 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 28.40 | 24.84 |
| state index | -1.19 | 0.37 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.27 | 0.71 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |