← Ligue 2 2020 · Tue, Dec 22, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Frank Schneider, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen win | 36% | 2.71 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.83 |
| Sochaux win | 30% | 3.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen +0 | 54% | 1.80 |
| Sochaux +0 | 46% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 69% | 1.38 |
| Over | 31% | 3.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Bryan Soumaré · Sochaux |
| 7' | ⚽ | Alexis Beka Beka · Caen |
| 16' | 🟨 | Gaetan Weissbeck · Sochaux |
| 18' | 🟨 | Alexis Beka Beka · Caen |
| 24' | 🟨 | Prince Oniangué · Caen |
| 36' | ⚽ | Adama Niane · Sochaux |
| 37' | ⚽ | Bryan Lasme · Sochaux |
| 43' | 🟨 | Anthony Weber · Caen |
| 45' | ⚽ (pen) | Bryan Lasme · Sochaux |
| 53' | 🟨 | Jessy Deminguet · Caen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 4 |
| 10 | Shots | 18 |
| 2 | On target | 8 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 19 | Fouls | 9 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Caen | Sochaux |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.21 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.21 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stade Michel d'Ornano |
| coach days | 448.00 | 752.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.42 | 1.49 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1506.41 | 1461.42 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 4.19 | 21.83 |
| eye test v1 | -0.39 | -1.26 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.11 | -0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.50 | 59.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.41 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.70 |
| league points | 27.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.60 | 70.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.80 | 40.80 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.41 |
| season ppg | 1.59 | 1.41 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 9.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.15 | -1.19 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 1.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.20 |
| squad age | 25.39 | 26.53 |
| state index | -0.05 | -0.09 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.38 | -0.58 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |