← Ligue 2 2020 · Sat, Dec 19, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Arnaud Baert, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Toulouse FC win | 50% | 1.93 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.67 |
| Le Havre AC win | 23% | 4.33 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Toulouse FC −0.5 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Le Havre AC −0.5 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.76 |
| Over | 45% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ | Rhys Healey · Toulouse FC |
| 12' | ⚽ | Rhys Healey · Toulouse FC |
| 19' | ⚽ | Alexandre Bonnet · Le Havre AC |
| 29' | 🟨 | Pierre Gibaud · Le Havre AC |
| 31' | ⚽ | Amine Adli · Toulouse FC |
| 50' | ⚽ | Umut Meraş · Le Havre AC |
| 56' | 🟨 | Romain Basque · Le Havre AC |
| 60' | 🟨 | Kelvin Amian · Toulouse FC |
| 80' | 🟨 | Rhys Healey · Toulouse FC |
| 83' | ⚽ | Nabil Alioui · Le Havre AC |
| 90' | 🟨 | Umut Meraş |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 17 | Shots | 13 |
| 8 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 21 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Toulouse FC | Le Havre AC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.48 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stadium de Toulouse |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Stijn Spierings · Toulouse FC |
| coach days | 201.00 | 537.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -4.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 1.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.74 | 2.01 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1504.62 | 1492.39 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 36.32 | -32.82 |
| eye test v1 | 0.96 | -0.47 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.53 | 0.24 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.50 | 62.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 0.48 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.50 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.58 |
| league points | 27.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.00 | 68.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.40 | 40.40 |
| rest days | 6.83 | 4.76 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.69 | 1.19 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 9.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.57 | -1.39 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 25.22 | 26.82 |
| state index | 0.43 | -0.81 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.22 | -0.77 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |