← Ligue 2 2020 · Fri, Dec 18, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Romain Lissorgue, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen win | 37% | 2.69 |
| Draw | 33% | 3.00 |
| Dunkerque win | 31% | 3.17 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen +0 | 55% | 1.79 |
| Dunkerque +0 | 45% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 67% | 1.46 |
| Over | 33% | 2.87 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | ⚽ | Ilan Kebbal · Dunkerque |
| 17' | ⚽ | Yoann Court · Caen |
| 36' | 🟨 | Alexis Beka Beka · Caen |
| 45' | ⚽ | Nicholas Gioacchini · Caen |
| 47' | 🟨 | Emeric Dudouit · Dunkerque |
| 57' | 🟨 | Steeve Yago · Caen |
| 71' | 🟨 | Redouane Kerrouche · Dunkerque |
| 74' | ⚽ | Kelian Nsona · Caen |
| 89' | ⚽ | Guillaume Bosca · Dunkerque |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jeremy Huysman · Dunkerque |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 4 | Shots | 10 |
| 2 | On target | 6 |
| 3 | Corners | 2 |
| 15 | Fouls | 17 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Dunkerque | Caen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.48 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| venue | Stade Marcel-Tribut |
| coach days | 231.00 | 444.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.78 | 2.55 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1477.42 | 1495.20 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.25 | -11.47 |
| eye test v1 | -0.45 | -0.64 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.29 | -0.26 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.60 | 62.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | — |
| league points | 20.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.00 | 76.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.40 | 53.80 |
| rest days | 6.04 | 6.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.50 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | 1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 8.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.18 | 0.20 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.50 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 26.30 | 25.95 |
| state index | -0.38 | -0.52 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.34 | 0.76 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.17 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |