← Ligue 2 2020 · Fri, Dec 18, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Alexandre Perreau Niel, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Amiens win | 37% | 2.59 |
| Valenciennes win | 32% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.18 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Amiens +0 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Valenciennes +0 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.71 |
| Over | 44% | 2.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | 🟨 | Joeffrey Cuffaut · Valenciennes |
| 18' | 🟨 | Noah Diliberto · Valenciennes |
| 24' | 🟨 | Nicholas Opoku · Amiens |
| 45' | 🟨 | Mickaël Alphonse · Amiens |
| 55' | 🟨 | Nicholas Opoku · Amiens |
| 55' | 🟥 | Nicholas Opoku · Amiens |
| 69' | 🟨 | Alexis Blin · Amiens |
| 81' | ⚽ | Mickaël Alphonse · Amiens |
| 85' | ⚽ | Iron Gomis · Amiens |
| 90' | 🟨 | Julien Masson · Valenciennes |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 15 |
| 1 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 7 |
| 15 | Fouls | 16 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Valenciennes | Amiens |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.69 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.55 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.78 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stade du Hainaut |
| coach days | 566.00 | 78.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.79 | 2.83 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1487.88 | 1511.54 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.35 | 6.58 |
| eye test v1 | -0.42 | 0.25 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.12 | 0.27 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.50 | 60.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 0.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.77 |
| league points | 22.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.40 | 75.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.60 | 53.40 |
| rest days | 6.04 | 6.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 1.19 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 9.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.36 | 0.10 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 25.73 | 24.93 |
| state index | -0.12 | -0.15 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.41 | 0.62 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.14 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |