← Ligue 2 2020 · Fri, Dec 18, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Olivier Thual, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ajaccio win | 39% | 2.51 |
| Draw | 34% | 3.00 |
| Nancy win | 27% | 3.56 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nancy −0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Ajaccio −0.25 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 69% | 1.38 |
| Over | 31% | 3.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | 🟨 | Giovanni Haag · Nancy |
| 27' | 🟨 | Bevic Moussiti Oko · Ajaccio |
| 29' | 🟨 | Faiz Mattoir · Ajaccio |
| 45' | ⚽ | Bevic Moussiti Oko · Ajaccio |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 4 |
| 2 | On target | 1 |
| 3 | Corners | 8 |
| 18 | Fouls | 21 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ajaccio | Nancy |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.47 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| venue | Stade François Coty |
| coach days | 170.00 | 536.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.27 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 1.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.37 | 1.56 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.22 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1435.17 | 1416.44 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -11.98 | -25.92 |
| eye test v1 | -0.32 | -1.05 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.30 | 0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.00 | 57.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.64 |
| league points | 14.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.40 | 73.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.60 | 43.20 |
| rest days | 6.04 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 0.88 | 0.81 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 8.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.39 | -0.77 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 29.22 | 25.78 |
| state index | -0.75 | -1.31 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.61 | -0.01 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.40 |