← Ligue 2 2020 · Sat, Dec 12, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: Mathieu Vernice, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Toulouse FC win | 49% | 2.00 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.57 |
| Chateauroux win | 24% | 4.04 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Chateauroux +0.5 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Toulouse FC +0.5 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.88 |
| Over | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | 🟨 | Deiver Machado · Toulouse FC |
| 37' | ⚽ (pen) | Stijn Spierings · Toulouse FC |
| 42' | 🟨 | Yannick M'Bone · Chateauroux |
| 65' | 🟨 | Ibrahim Cisse · Chateauroux |
| 65' | ⚽ | Rhys Healey · Toulouse FC |
| 70' | 🟨 | Nama Fofana · Chateauroux |
| 85' | ⚽ (og) | Christopher Operi · Toulouse FC |
| 90' | 🟨 | Leo Leroy · Chateauroux |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 17 | Shots | 19 |
| 5 | On target | 9 |
| 6 | Corners | 8 |
| 19 | Fouls | 15 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Chateauroux | Toulouse FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stade Gaston Petit |
| coach days | 2629.00 | 194.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.59 | 2.32 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1387.00 | 1489.23 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -21.70 | 8.90 |
| eye test v1 | -0.20 | 0.64 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.40 | 0.21 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.50 | 65.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.34 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.69 |
| league points | 12.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.00 | 79.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.60 | 55.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 0.86 | 1.60 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.06 | 0.58 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 27.08 | 25.23 |
| state index | -0.81 | 0.06 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.08 | 0.36 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |