← Ligue 2 2020 · Sat, Dec 12, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: Romain Lissorgue, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp win | 44% | 2.25 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
| Valenciennes win | 26% | 3.80 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp −0.25 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Valenciennes −0.25 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.75 |
| Over | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 27' | 🟨 | Sessi D'Almeida · Valenciennes |
| 29' | 🟨 | Théo Pellenard · Valenciennes |
| 44' | 🟨 | Jacques-Alaixys Romao · Guingamp |
| 55' | ⚽ | Baptiste Guillaume · Valenciennes |
| 66' | ⚽ | Yeni N'Gbakoto · Guingamp |
| 90' | 🟨 | Youssouf M'Changama · Guingamp |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 13 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 20 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Guingamp | Valenciennes |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.47 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stade du Roudourou |
| coach days | 133.00 | 560.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.87 | 2.00 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1467.15 | 1486.72 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -16.94 | 18.23 |
| eye test v1 | 0.05 | -0.07 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.42 | 0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.40 | 53.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.42 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.67 |
| league points | 15.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.00 | 78.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.60 | 50.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.60 | -2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.00 | 0.23 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 28.27 | 25.70 |
| state index | -0.81 | 0.07 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.13 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |