← Ligue 2 2020 · Mon, Dec 7, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: Jeremie Pignard, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ajaccio win | 43% | 2.30 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.10 |
| Le Havre AC win | 26% | 3.76 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ajaccio −0.25 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Le Havre AC −0.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 65% | 1.47 |
| Over | 35% | 2.78 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | 🟨 | Fernand Mayembo · Le Havre AC |
| 39' | 🟨 | Qazim Laci · Ajaccio |
| 40' | ⚽ | Pierre Gibaud · Le Havre AC |
| 65' | ⚽ (pen) | Gaëtan Courtet · Ajaccio |
| 66' | 🟨 | Gaëtan Courtet · Ajaccio |
| 66' | 🟨 | Hervé Bazile · Le Havre AC |
| 66' | 🟥 | Hervé Bazile · Le Havre AC |
| 68' | 🟨 | Cedric Avinel · Ajaccio |
| 84' | 🟨 | Mickaël Barreto · Ajaccio |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 7 | Shots | 10 |
| 3 | On target | 7 |
| 7 | Corners | 2 |
| 18 | Fouls | 11 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ajaccio | Le Havre AC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.46 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stade François Coty |
| coach days | 159.00 | 525.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -4.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.80 | 2.08 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1449.98 | 1491.35 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.87 | -37.55 |
| eye test v1 | -0.10 | -0.71 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.27 | -0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.00 | 59.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 0.48 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.64 |
| league points | 13.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.40 | 75.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.60 | 47.00 |
| rest days | 6.07 | 6.07 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 0.93 | 1.21 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | -2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 9.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.52 | -0.31 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 29.29 | 27.29 |
| state index | -0.54 | -0.77 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.15 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |