β Ligue 2 2020 Β· Sat, Dec 5, 06:00 PM UTC Β· ref: Nicolas Rainville, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dunkerque win | 38% | 2.50 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.04 |
| Chateauroux win | 30% | 3.29 |
across 3 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Chateauroux β0.25 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Dunkerque β0.25 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.59 |
| Over | 40% | 2.44 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | π¨ | Jeremy Cordoval Β· Chateauroux |
| 44' | β½ | Cheick Diarra Β· Dunkerque |
| 45' | π¨ | Malik Tchokounte Β· Dunkerque |
| 55' | β½ | Cheick Diarra Β· Dunkerque |
| 69' | π¨ | Remi Mulumba Β· Chateauroux |
| 72' | π¨ | Axel Maraval Β· Dunkerque |
| 90' | π¨ | Yannick M'Bone Β· Chateauroux |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 16 |
| 6 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 13 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Dunkerque | Chateauroux |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.53 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | β | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stade Marcel-Tribut |
| coach days | 218.00 | 2622.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | β | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.91 | 2.94 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1482.87 | 1396.01 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.65 | -19.82 |
| eye test v1 | -0.85 | 0.00 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.77 | 0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.50 | 61.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | β | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.71 |
| league points | 17.00 | 12.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.60 | 76.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.60 | 48.40 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.31 | 0.92 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.56 | -0.14 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.20 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 26.42 | 28.08 |
| state index | -0.23 | -0.79 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.50 | -0.03 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.16 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |