← Ligue 2 2020 · Sat, Dec 5, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: Romain Delpech, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valenciennes win | 36% | 2.73 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
| Chambly Thelle FC win | 32% | 3.10 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valenciennes +0 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Chambly Thelle FC +0 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.64 |
| Over | 41% | 2.34 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 35' | ⚽ | Joris Correa · Chambly Thelle FC |
| 65' | 🟨 | Medhy Guezoui · Chambly Thelle FC |
| 66' | ⚽ | Baptiste Guillaume · Valenciennes |
| 87' | ⚽ | Kevin Cabral · Valenciennes |
| 90' | 🟨 | Théo Pellenard · Valenciennes |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 15 |
| 2 | On target | 5 |
| 1 | Corners | 5 |
| 19 | Fouls | 17 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Chambly Thelle FC | Valenciennes |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 |
| venue | Stade Pierre Brisson |
| 2.00 |
| coach days | — | 553.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.30 | 2.10 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1432.82 | 1476.24 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 22.12 | -6.80 |
| eye test v1 | -1.12 | -0.07 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.00 | 0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 45.20 | 52.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 1.40 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.67 |
| league points | 12.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.00 | 78.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.80 | 47.80 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.44 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 0.86 | 1.29 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | -4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.19 | -0.03 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 30.04 | 25.15 |
| state index | -0.08 | -0.42 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.25 | -0.07 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |