← Ligue 2 2020 · Sat, Dec 5, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: Remi Landry, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Toulouse FC win | 37% | 2.62 |
| Guingamp win | 33% | 2.88 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.30 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Toulouse FC +0 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Guingamp +0 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.78 |
| Over | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 50' | 🟨 | Pierrick Valdivia · Guingamp |
| 51' | ⚽ | Rhys Healey · Toulouse FC |
| 55' | 🟨 | Steven Moreira · Toulouse FC |
| 56' | ⚽ (pen) | Yannick Gomis · Guingamp |
| 63' | 🟨 | Kelvin Amian · Toulouse FC |
| 65' | 🟨 | Jérémy Livolant · Guingamp |
| 73' | ⚽ | Janis Antiste · Toulouse FC |
| 81' | ⚽ | Yeni N'Gbakoto · Guingamp |
| 88' | 🟨 | Sikou Niakaté · Guingamp |
| 90' | 🟨 | Guessouma Fofana · Guingamp |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 24 | Shots | 7 |
| 9 | On target | 4 |
| 8 | Corners | 4 |
| 8 | Fouls | 20 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Toulouse FC | Guingamp |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.46 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stadium de Toulouse |
| coach days | 187.00 | 126.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.79 | 1.87 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1491.69 | 1464.70 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 24.88 | -15.38 |
| eye test v1 | 0.31 | -0.20 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.07 | 0.47 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.50 | 68.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.40 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.50 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.78 |
| league points | 23.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.80 | 78.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.60 | 53.40 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.64 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.57 | 0.42 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 24.80 | 26.99 |
| state index | 0.18 | -0.60 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.73 | 0.41 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |