← Ligue 2 2020 · Sat, Dec 5, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: Alexandre Perreau Niel, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen win | 36% | 2.74 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.98 |
| Grenoble win | 32% | 3.01 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen +0 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Grenoble +0 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.54 |
| Over | 37% | 2.57 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | 🟨 | Anthony Gonçalves · Caen |
| 11' | ⚽ | Yoric Ravet · Grenoble |
| 24' | 🟨 | Jordy Gaspar · Grenoble |
| 35' | 🟨 | Alexandre Mendy · Caen |
| 42' | 🟨 | Jerome Mombris · Grenoble |
| 68' | 🟨 | Mamadou Diallo · Grenoble |
| 74' | 🟨 | Loïc Nestor · Grenoble |
| 76' | ⚽ (pen) | Yoann Court · Caen |
| 90' | 🟨 | Hugo Vandermersch · Caen |
| 90' | 🟨 | Manuel Perez · Grenoble |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 6 | Shots | 8 |
| 2 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 1 |
| 22 | Fouls | 16 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Caen | Grenoble |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 1.40 |
| venue | Stade Michel d'Ornano |
| coach days | 431.00 | 918.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.53 | 2.12 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.02 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1492.69 | 1511.76 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.34 | 42.20 |
| eye test v1 | -0.30 | -0.48 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.15 | 0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.00 | 57.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.83 |
| league points | 21.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.20 | 81.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.20 | 52.80 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.62 | 2.08 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.35 | 0.67 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 25.91 | 26.88 |
| state index | -0.06 | 0.54 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.54 | 0.57 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |