← Ligue 2 2020 · Tue, Dec 1, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: Olivier Thual, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Grenoble win | 45% | 2.18 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.27 |
| Chateauroux win | 26% | 3.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Grenoble +0.25 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Chateauroux +0.25 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.75 |
| Over | 46% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 42' | 🟨 | Ibrahim Cisse · Chateauroux |
| 77' | 🟨 | Ibrahim Cisse · Chateauroux |
| 77' | 🟥 | Ibrahim Cisse · Chateauroux |
| 77' | 🟨 | Yoric Ravet · Grenoble |
| 83' | 🟨 | Bart Straalman · Grenoble |
| 87' | ⚽ | Mamadou Diallo · Grenoble |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 13 |
| 2 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 16 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Chateauroux | Grenoble |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| venue | Stade Gaston Petit |
| coach days | 2618.00 | 914.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.96 | 2.36 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1404.93 | 1502.84 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -20.25 | 25.95 |
| eye test v1 | -0.01 | -0.42 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.25 | -0.00 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.10 | 57.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.51 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.76 |
| league points | 12.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.80 | 80.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.80 | 51.20 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.17 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.14 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.06 | 0.41 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 27.27 | 27.48 |
| state index | -0.56 | 0.22 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.21 | 0.54 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |