← Ligue 2 2020 · Sat, Nov 28, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: Benjamin Lepaysant, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp win | 42% | 2.32 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
| Rodez win | 26% | 3.71 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp +0.25 | 50% | 1.95 |
| Rodez +0.25 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.50 |
| Over | 37% | 2.70 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | 🟨 | Remy Boissier · Rodez |
| 33' | ⚽ | Valentin Henry · Rodez |
| 41' | 🟨 | Valentin Henry · Rodez |
| 52' | ⚽ | Ronny Rodelin · Guingamp |
| 59' | 🟨 | Pierre Bardy · Rodez |
| 59' | 🟨 | Pierrick Valdivia · Guingamp |
| 68' | 🟨 | Amiran Sanaia · Rodez |
| 86' | 🟨 | Jeremy Mellot · Guingamp |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jérémy Livolant · Guingamp |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 17 |
| 3 | On target | 6 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 15 | Fouls | 13 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rodez | Guingamp |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| venue | Stade Paul Lignon |
| coach days | 1977.00 | 119.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.62 | 2.13 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.03 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1405.37 | 1481.37 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -28.42 | 1.95 |
| eye test v1 | -0.32 | -0.19 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.39 | 0.00 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.80 | 68.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.05 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.55 | 0.85 |
| league points | 10.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 11.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.80 | 79.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.40 | 51.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 4.93 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 0.83 | 1.18 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.60 | -2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.88 | 0.34 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 26.00 | 28.18 |
| state index | -0.84 | -0.14 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.17 | 0.48 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |