← Ligue 2 2020 · Sat, Nov 28, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: Remi Landry, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AJ Auxerre win | 52% | 1.85 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.74 |
| Valenciennes win | 21% | 4.69 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AJ Auxerre −0.5 | 54% | 1.80 |
| Valenciennes −0.5 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.93 |
| Under | 49% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | ⚽ | Teddy Chevalier · Valenciennes |
| 14' | 🟨 | Baptiste Guillaume · Valenciennes |
| 21' | 🟨 | Alexandre Coeff · AJ Auxerre |
| 38' | 🟨 | Jubal · AJ Auxerre |
| 45' | ⚽ | Mathias Autret · AJ Auxerre |
| 58' | 🟨 | Mickaël Le Bihan · AJ Auxerre |
| 64' | 🟨 | Gautier Lloris · AJ Auxerre |
| 90' | 🟨 | Aly Ndom · AJ Auxerre |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 17 | Shots | 9 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 7 | Corners | 5 |
| 17 | Fouls | 15 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | AJ Auxerre | Valenciennes |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps |
| coach days | 516.00 | 546.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.40 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 2.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.42 | 2.18 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.37 |
| elo | 1490.27 | 1476.73 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 38.57 | 3.09 |
| eye test v1 | 0.21 | -0.31 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.20 | 0.67 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.00 | 54.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.60 | 1.45 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.65 |
| league points | 22.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.40 | 77.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.80 | 48.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.53 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 1.83 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -6.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | 1.06 | -0.04 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 28.08 | 25.10 |
| state index | 0.71 | -0.32 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.91 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.00 |