← Ligue 2 2020 · Mon, Nov 23, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: Romain Delpech, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp win | 47% | 2.08 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.25 |
| Ajaccio win | 23% | 4.33 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ajaccio −0.5 | 53% | 1.82 |
| Guingamp −0.5 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.63 |
| Over | 41% | 2.35 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | ⚽ | Riad Nouri · Ajaccio |
| 26' | 🟨 | Matthieu Huard · Ajaccio |
| 49' | ⚽ | Yannick Gomis · Guingamp |
| 54' | ⚽ | Bevic Moussiti Oko · Ajaccio |
| 72' | 🟨 | Philipe Sampaio · Guingamp |
| 90' | ⚽ | Lloyd Palun · Guingamp |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 17 | Shots | 18 |
| 5 | On target | 7 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 19 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Guingamp | Ajaccio |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.55 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stade du Roudourou |
| coach days | 114.00 | 145.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.00 | 3.19 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1484.09 | 1447.15 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.34 | -8.54 |
| eye test v1 | -0.73 | -0.88 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.05 | 0.36 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 66.60 | 54.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.92 | 0.63 |
| league points | 12.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.00 | 71.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.40 | 45.60 |
| rest days | 16.24 | 16.07 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | — |
| season ppg | 1.20 | 0.91 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | -2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 9.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.31 | -0.79 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.40 |
| squad age | 26.69 | 29.20 |
| state index | -0.11 | -0.50 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.71 | -0.03 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |