← Ligue 2 2020 · Sat, Nov 21, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: Nicolas Rainville, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Grenoble win | 37% | 2.64 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
| Pau FC win | 31% | 3.12 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Grenoble +0 | 55% | 1.79 |
| Pau FC +0 | 45% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.69 |
| Over | 43% | 2.23 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | ⚽ | Loïc Nestor · Grenoble |
| 26' | 🟨 | Adrien Monfray · Grenoble |
| 38' | ⚽ (pen) | Jessy Benet · Grenoble |
| 43' | 🟨 | Ebenezer Assifuah · Pau FC |
| 63' | 🟨 | Romain Armand · Pau FC |
| 71' | 🟨 | Jessy Benet · Grenoble |
| 76' | 🟨 | Victor Lobry · Pau FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 10 | Shots | 18 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 7 |
| 11 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Pau FC | Grenoble |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 1.40 |
| venue | Stade Municipal du Hameau |
| coach days | 143.00 | 904.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 2.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.89 | 3.43 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1473.07 | 1479.73 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 16.01 | 21.59 |
| eye test v1 | 0.21 | -0.68 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.72 | 0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.90 | 58.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.45 | 1.58 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.68 |
| league points | 9.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.20 | 76.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.20 | 49.00 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 14.17 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 0.82 | 1.88 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.40 | -0.06 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 27.64 | 28.17 |
| state index | 0.21 | 0.15 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.48 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | — | 0.60 |