β Ligue 2 2020 Β· Sat, Nov 21, 06:00 PM UTC Β· ref: Bastien Dechepy, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Niort win | 44% | 2.20 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.24 |
| Dunkerque win | 25% | 3.93 |
across 3 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Niort β0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Dunkerque β0.25 | 47% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.65 |
| Over | 41% | 2.31 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1' | β½ | Cheick Diarra Β· Dunkerque |
| 14' | β½ | Ilan Kebbal Β· Dunkerque |
| 45' | β½ (pen) | Pape Ibnou Ba Β· Niort |
| 72' | π¨ | Bilal Boutobba Β· Niort |
| 73' | π¨ | Redouane Kerrouche Β· Dunkerque |
| 88' | π¨ | Pape Ibnou Ba Β· Niort |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 15 | Shots | 9 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 16 | Fouls | 18 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Niort | Dunkerque |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.18 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | β |
| box share (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.47 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stade RenΓ© Gaillard |
| coach days | 173.00 | 204.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | β |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.89 | 1.06 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1423.85 | 1483.67 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.91 | -13.83 |
| eye test v1 | 0.19 | -1.44 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.48 | -0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.50 | 55.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.18 | 0.48 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | β |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.65 |
| league points | 17.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.00 | 73.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.60 | 52.00 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | β |
| season ppg | 1.89 | 1.30 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | -1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 8.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.33 | -0.17 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 1.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 1.60 |
| squad age | 23.77 | 27.60 |
| state index | -0.12 | -0.22 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.49 | 0.62 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.12 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.16 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |