← Ligue 2 2020 · Sat, Nov 21, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Stephanie Frappart, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen win | 34% | 2.84 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.90 |
| Le Havre AC win | 32% | 3.10 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen +0 | 53% | 1.86 |
| Le Havre AC +0 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 66% | 1.46 |
| Over | 34% | 2.82 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 29' | 🟨 | Hugo Vandermersch · Caen |
| 45' | ⚽ | Himad Abdelli · Le Havre AC |
| 52' | 🟨 | Victor Lekhal · Le Havre AC |
| 68' | 🟨 | Alexandre Mendy · Caen |
| 70' | 🟨 | Yoël Armougom · Caen |
| 76' | ⚽ | Yoann Court · Caen |
| 84' | 🟨 | Alexandre Bonnet · Le Havre AC |
| 85' | ⚽ (pen) | Yacine Bammou · Caen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 5 | Shots | 8 |
| 2 | On target | 3 |
| 1 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Le Havre AC | Caen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.49 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.60 |
| venue | Stade Océane |
| coach days | 509.00 | 417.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.81 | 2.51 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1525.21 | 1494.11 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -14.22 | -6.51 |
| eye test v1 | -0.23 | -0.26 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.49 | 0.39 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.30 | 60.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.60 |
| league points | 16.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.60 | 74.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.20 | 46.60 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 13.83 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.43 |
| season ppg | 1.45 | 1.70 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | -1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.17 | -0.47 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 26.78 | 25.89 |
| state index | -0.12 | -0.22 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.14 | -0.41 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.16 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |