← Ligue 2 2020 · Sat, Nov 7, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: Nicolas Rainville, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ajaccio win | 36% | 2.77 |
| Draw | 32% | 2.93 |
| Rodez win | 32% | 3.03 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ajaccio +0 | 53% | 1.86 |
| Rodez +0 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.52 |
| Over | 37% | 2.63 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | 🟨 | Ugo Bonnet · Rodez |
| 28' | 🟨 | Cedric Avinel · Ajaccio |
| 36' | 🟨 | Yohan Roche · Rodez |
| 52' | 🟨 | Mickaël Barreto · Ajaccio |
| 57' | 🟥 | Joris Sainati · Ajaccio |
| 82' | ⚽ | Riad Nouri · Ajaccio |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 4 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 7 | Corners | 2 |
| 12 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rodez | Ajaccio |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stade Paul Lignon |
| coach days | 1956.00 | 129.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.59 | 3.19 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1412.62 | 1436.10 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -38.70 | -37.22 |
| eye test v1 | -0.23 | -0.38 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.08 | 0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.60 | 54.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -2.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.71 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.64 |
| league points | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.00 | 74.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.40 | 49.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | — |
| season ppg | 0.90 | 0.70 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.12 | -0.25 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 27.13 | 28.09 |
| state index | -0.99 | -0.97 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.18 | 0.09 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |