← Ligue 2 2020 · Sat, Nov 7, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: Mehdi Mokhtari, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pau FC win | 35% | 2.81 |
| Chateauroux win | 34% | 2.86 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pau FC +0 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Chateauroux +0 | 49% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.61 |
| Over | 41% | 2.39 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ | Ebenezer Assifuah · Pau FC |
| 18' | 🟨 | Quentin Daubin · Pau FC |
| 33' | ⚽ | Romain Armand · Pau FC |
| 40' | ⚽ | Ebenezer Assifuah · Pau FC |
| 45' | 🟨 | Cheick Tidiane Sabaly · Pau FC |
| 77' | 🟨 | Opa Sangante · Chateauroux |
| 78' | 🟨 | Opa Sangante · Chateauroux |
| 78' | 🟥 | Opa Sangante · Chateauroux |
| 87' | 🟨 | Xavier Kouassi · Pau FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 3 |
| 14 | Shots | 10 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 17 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Chateauroux | Pau FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.48 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.40 |
| venue | Stade Gaston Petit |
| coach days | 2594.00 | 129.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.47 | 3.96 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1408.70 | 1454.88 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.62 | 1.41 |
| eye test v1 | 0.33 | -0.07 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.11 | 0.78 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.00 | 54.78 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | — |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.70 |
| league points | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.00 | 71.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.80 | 43.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 0.89 | 0.60 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.17 | -0.99 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 3.56 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 25.99 | 26.67 |
| state index | -0.36 | -0.26 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.16 | -0.83 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |