← Ligue 2 2020 · Sat, Nov 7, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: Ruddy Buquet, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen win | 40% | 2.44 |
| Draw | 33% | 3.00 |
| Nancy win | 27% | 3.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nancy −0.25 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Caen −0.25 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.51 |
| Over | 37% | 2.67 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | 🟨 | Jessy Pi · Caen |
| 27' | ⚽ | Kenny Rocha Santos · Nancy |
| 30' | ⚽ (og) | Sega Coulibaly · Caen |
| 41' | 🟨 | Anthony Weber · Caen |
| 44' | 🟨 | Ernest Seka · Nancy |
| 60' | 🟨 | Aliou Badara Traore · Caen |
| 64' | 🟨 | Anthony Weber · Caen |
| 64' | 🟥 | Anthony Weber · Caen |
| 77' | 🟨 | Alexis Beka Beka · Caen |
| 90' | 🟨 | Yacine Bammou · Caen |
| 90' | ⚽ | Nicholas Gioacchini · Caen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 13 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 6 | Corners | 1 |
| 20 | Fouls | 9 |
| 6 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Caen | Nancy |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stade Michel d'Ornano |
| coach days | 403.00 | 495.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.51 | 2.02 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1486.40 | 1465.35 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -23.36 | 29.78 |
| eye test v1 | -0.40 | -0.33 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.26 | 0.39 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.70 | 57.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.73 |
| league points | 14.00 | 11.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.00 | 77.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.60 | 49.00 |
| rest days | 7.17 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.56 | 1.38 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.10 | -0.00 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 26.98 | 25.03 |
| state index | -0.16 | 0.22 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.13 | -0.00 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.00 |