β Ligue 2 2020 Β· Sat, Oct 31, 06:00 PM UTC Β· ref: Romain Delpech, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Le Havre AC win | 38% | 2.56 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
| Pau FC win | 29% | 3.28 |
across 3 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pau FC β0.25 | 55% | 1.78 |
| Le Havre AC β0.25 | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 64% | 1.49 |
| Over | 36% | 2.72 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | β½ | Godwin Bentil Β· Le Havre AC |
| 38' | π¨ | Quentin Cornette Β· Le Havre AC |
| 50' | π¨ | Antoine Batisse Β· Pau FC |
| 58' | π¨ | Jean-Pascal Fontaine Β· Le Havre AC |
| 85' | π¨ | Antoine Batisse Β· Pau FC |
| 85' | π₯ | Antoine Batisse Β· Pau FC |
| 89' | π¨ | Anthony Scaramozzino Β· Pau FC |
| 90' | π¨ | Romain Bayard Β· Pau FC |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 17 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 7 | Corners | 13 |
| 11 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Le Havre AC | Pau FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.46 | 0.47 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | β |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.60 |
| venue | Stade OcΓ©ane |
| coach days | 488.00 | 122.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | β |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.81 | β |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1528.90 | 1461.36 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -16.20 | -3.74 |
| eye test v1 | -0.20 | -0.27 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.32 | 0.59 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.90 | 54.75 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | β |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | β |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | β |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.70 |
| league points | 13.00 | 6.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.20 | 68.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.40 | 40.40 |
| rest days | 7.04 | 7.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 1.44 | 0.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.10 | -1.40 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 3.75 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 26.10 | 26.80 |
| state index | -0.12 | -0.27 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.32 | -1.03 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.17 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |