← Ligue 2 2020 · Sat, Oct 31, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: Guillaume Paradis, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nancy win | 50% | 1.91 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.34 |
| Chateauroux win | 20% | 4.78 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nancy −0.5 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Chateauroux −0.5 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.63 |
| Over | 41% | 2.35 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | 🟨 | Romain Grange · Chateauroux |
| 15' | ⚽ | Romain Grange · Chateauroux |
| 54' | ⚽ (pen) | Amine Bassi · Nancy |
| 71' | ⚽ | Sega Coulibaly · Nancy |
| 86' | 🟨 | Rosario Latouchent · Nancy |
| 90' | 🟨 | Mickaël Biron · Nancy |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 12 |
| 2 | On target | 5 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 17 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nancy | Chateauroux |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.49 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stade Marcel-Picot |
| coach days | 488.00 | 2587.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.02 | 3.14 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1458.22 | 1415.84 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 12.83 | 2.00 |
| eye test v1 | -0.30 | -0.28 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.47 | 0.46 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.50 | 52.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | — |
| league points | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.60 | 76.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.80 | 48.80 |
| rest days | 14.04 | 7.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.43 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.14 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.12 | -0.11 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 26.06 | 26.69 |
| state index | -0.02 | -0.26 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.06 | -0.00 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |