← Ligue 2 2020 · Sat, Oct 31, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Nicolas Rainville, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Paris FC win | 41% | 2.37 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
| Caen win | 27% | 3.60 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen −0.25 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Paris FC −0.25 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.51 |
| Over | 37% | 2.67 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | 🟨 | Vincent Demarconnay · Paris FC |
| 7' | 🟨 | Prince Oniangué · Caen |
| 12' | ⚽ | Yacine Bammou · Caen |
| 32' | 🟨 | Kelian Nsona · Caen |
| 36' | 🟨 | Jessy Pi · Caen |
| 41' | 🟨 | Lalaina Nomenjanahary · Paris FC |
| 43' | ⚽ | Ousmane Kanté · Paris FC |
| 48' | 🟨 | Jonathan Rivierez · Caen |
| 49' | ⚽ (pen) | Julien López · Paris FC |
| 60' | 🟨 | Jonathan Rivierez · Caen |
| 60' | 🟥 | Jonathan Rivierez · Caen |
| 66' | 🟨 | Alexandre Mendy · Caen |
| 69' | 🟨 | Alexis Beka Beka · Caen |
| 70' | ⚽ (pen) | Warren Caddy · Paris FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 12 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 7 | Corners | 6 |
| 8 | Fouls | 19 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 7 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Paris FC | Caen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.22 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.48 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stade Sébastien-Charléty |
| coach days | 304.00 | 396.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 2.67 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1517.43 | 1498.03 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.15 | -15.18 |
| eye test v1 | -0.06 | -0.81 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.00 | -0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.90 | 61.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.83 |
| league points | 19.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.00 | 77.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.80 | 53.20 |
| rest days | 6.88 | 7.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 2.38 | 1.75 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.40 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.66 | 0.29 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 29.53 | 27.75 |
| state index | 0.43 | -0.22 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.52 | 0.47 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |