← Ligue 2 2020 · Sat, Oct 24, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: Aurelien Petit, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pau FC win | 38% | 2.50 |
| Draw | 33% | 3.02 |
| Niort win | 29% | 3.33 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Niort −0.25 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Pau FC −0.25 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.56 |
| Over | 39% | 2.51 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | ⚽ | Brahima Doukansy · Niort |
| 20' | 🟥 | Issouf Paro · Niort |
| 36' | 🟨 | Victor Lobry · Pau FC |
| 38' | ⚽ | Ebenezer Assifuah · Pau FC |
| 45' | ⚽ | Cheick Tidiane Sabaly · Pau FC |
| 59' | 🟨 | Antoine Batisse · Pau FC |
| 75' | 🟨 | Steeve Beusnard · Pau FC |
| 80' | ⚽ | Cheick Tidiane Sabaly · Pau FC |
| 90' | 🟨 | Mathieu Michel · Niort |
| 90' | ⚽ | Romain Armand · Pau FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 23 | Shots | 15 |
| 14 | On target | 6 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 18 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Pau FC | Niort |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.46 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| venue | Stade Municipal du Hameau |
| coach days | 115.00 | 145.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.02 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | — | 1.70 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1448.01 | 1424.08 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -25.32 | 32.23 |
| eye test v1 | -1.43 | -0.24 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.21 | 0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.14 | 61.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | — | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | — | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.75 |
| league points | 3.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 66.80 | 75.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 37.60 | 45.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 0.38 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.78 | -0.49 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.29 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 25.91 | 24.24 |
| state index | -0.89 | 0.16 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.91 | -0.57 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | — | 1.20 |