← Ligue 2 2020 · Sat, Oct 24, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: Bartolomeu Varela Teles, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Toulouse FC win | 46% | 2.14 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.19 |
| Rodez win | 24% | 4.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Toulouse FC −0.25 | 53% | 1.82 |
| Rodez −0.25 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.60 |
| Over | 40% | 2.41 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | ⚽ | Brecht Dejaegere · Toulouse FC |
| 29' | 🟨 | Nassim Ouammou · Rodez |
| 34' | 🟨 | Loic Poujol · Rodez |
| 56' | ⚽ | Kelvin Amian · Toulouse FC |
| 67' | 🟨 | Stijn Spierings · Toulouse FC |
| 90' | 🟨 | Branco van den Boomen · Toulouse FC |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Stijn Spierings · Toulouse FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 16 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 0 | Corners | 7 |
| 16 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Toulouse FC | Rodez |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stadium de Toulouse |
| coach days | 145.00 | 1942.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.63 | 3.48 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1453.62 | 1426.31 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 36.18 | -12.03 |
| eye test v1 | -0.37 | -0.73 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.27 | 0.33 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.00 | 66.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.70 |
| league points | 10.00 | 8.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.40 | 72.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.20 | 45.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.25 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.60 | -0.76 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 24.04 | 26.11 |
| state index | 0.27 | -0.70 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.25 | -0.39 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |