← Ligue 2 2020 · Mon, Oct 19, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: Nicolas Rainville, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp win | 44% | 2.22 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.17 |
| AJ Auxerre win | 26% | 3.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp −0.25 | 51% | 1.88 |
| AJ Auxerre −0.25 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.69 |
| Over | 43% | 2.23 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 59' | ⚽ | Bryan Pelé · Guingamp |
| 76' | 🟨 | Gautier Lloris · AJ Auxerre |
| 81' | ⚽ | Jérémy Livolant · Guingamp |
| 88' | 🟨 | Kévin Fortuné · AJ Auxerre |
| 89' | 🟨 | Jeremy Mellot · Guingamp |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 11 |
| 7 | On target | 1 |
| 8 | Corners | 5 |
| 6 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Guingamp | AJ Auxerre |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| venue | Stade du Roudourou |
| coach days | 79.00 | 476.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.10 | 2.01 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1479.42 | 1451.70 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.23 | 22.14 |
| eye test v1 | -0.64 | 0.19 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.36 | 0.36 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.10 | 61.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.57 | 1.58 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | 0.68 |
| league points | 7.00 | 12.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.20 | 77.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.00 | 48.00 |
| rest days | 16.07 | 16.07 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| season ppg | 1.17 | 1.71 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | -1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.59 | -0.05 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 28.59 | 28.27 |
| state index | -0.12 | 0.02 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.58 | -0.28 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |