← Ligue 2 2020 · Sat, Oct 17, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: Romain Delpech, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen win | 37% | 2.72 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
| Niort win | 31% | 3.14 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen +0 | 53% | 1.81 |
| Niort +0 | 47% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.68 |
| Over | 43% | 2.27 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Quentin Bena · Niort |
| 16' | ⚽ | Pape Ibnou Ba · Niort |
| 56' | 🟨 | Joris Moutachy · Niort |
| 68' | ⚽ | Yacine Bourhane · Niort |
| 80' | ⚽ | Valentin Jacob · Niort |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 8 |
| 7 | On target | 2 |
| 2 | Corners | 1 |
| 20 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Niort | Caen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stade René Gaillard |
| coach days | 138.00 | 382.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.77 | 1.77 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.03 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1404.32 | 1509.47 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 12.72 | 23.21 |
| eye test v1 | -0.39 | -0.67 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.09 | -0.84 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.30 | 62.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.47 | 1.40 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.83 |
| league points | 11.00 | 11.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.00 | 76.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.60 | 47.20 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 14.15 |
| scorer concentration | 0.50 | — |
| season ppg | 1.83 | 1.83 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 9.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.07 | -0.22 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 1.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 22.54 | 26.90 |
| state index | -0.12 | 0.36 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.09 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |