← Ligue 2 2020 · Sat, Oct 17, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: Pierre Gaillouste, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sochaux win | 39% | 2.49 |
| Draw | 33% | 3.10 |
| Valenciennes win | 28% | 3.76 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valenciennes +0.25 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Sochaux +0.25 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 67% | 1.43 |
| Over | 33% | 2.91 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | 🟨 | Julien Masson · Valenciennes |
| 19' | 🟨 | Florentin Pogba · Sochaux |
| 40' | 🟨 | Emmanuel Ntim · Valenciennes |
| 45' | 🟨 | Gaetan Weissbeck · Sochaux |
| 72' | 🟨 | Adama Niane · Sochaux |
| 83' | 🟨 | Maxime Spano · Valenciennes |
| 90' | 🟨 | Arsène Elogo · Valenciennes |
| 90' | 🟨 | Fabien Ourega · Sochaux |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 16 |
| 1 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 7 |
| 22 | Fouls | 22 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Valenciennes | Sochaux |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stade du Hainaut |
| coach days | 504.00 | 686.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.88 | 1.93 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1475.38 | 1474.35 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -13.85 | 32.69 |
| eye test v1 | -0.80 | -0.76 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.34 | 0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.90 | 60.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.37 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.69 |
| league points | 9.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.00 | 74.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.40 | 48.40 |
| rest days | 13.83 | 13.83 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.44 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 2.14 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 8.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.34 | -0.33 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 25.04 | 26.70 |
| state index | -0.09 | 0.07 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.76 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |