← Ligue 2 2020 · Sat, Oct 3, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: Bartolomeu Varela Teles, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AJ Auxerre win | 42% | 2.33 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
| Ajaccio win | 26% | 3.82 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ajaccio −0.25 | 50% | 1.94 |
| AJ Auxerre −0.25 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.51 |
| Over | 37% | 2.66 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | ⚽ | Mickaël Le Bihan · AJ Auxerre |
| 14' | 🟨 | Bevic Moussiti Oko · Ajaccio |
| 23' | ⚽ (pen) | Remy Dugimont · AJ Auxerre |
| 30' | ⚽ | Simon Elisor · Ajaccio |
| 33' | 🟨 | Birama Touré · AJ Auxerre |
| 37' | ⚽ | Mickaël Le Bihan · AJ Auxerre |
| 41' | ⚽ | Remy Dugimont · AJ Auxerre |
| 79' | 🟨 | Carlens Arcus · AJ Auxerre |
| 84' | ⚽ (pen) | Kévin Fortuné · AJ Auxerre |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 4 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 12 |
| 8 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 11 |
| 11 | Fouls | 17 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | AJ Auxerre | Ajaccio |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps |
| coach days | 460.00 | 94.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.31 | 1.81 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.62 |
| elo | 1434.07 | 1473.32 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 16.64 | -27.73 |
| eye test v1 | -0.44 | -0.28 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.21 | 0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.40 | 60.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.67 |
| league points | 9.00 | 4.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 10.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.00 | 78.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.80 | 58.40 |
| rest days | 7.17 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | — |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 0.80 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | 4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.20 | 0.68 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 27.87 | 28.79 |
| state index | -0.22 | -0.27 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.24 | 0.97 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |