← Ligue 2 2020 · Wed, Sep 30, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: Benjamin Lepaysant, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ajaccio win | 46% | 2.16 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.20 |
| Dunkerque win | 24% | 4.15 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ajaccio −0.25 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Dunkerque −0.25 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 62% | 1.53 |
| Over | 38% | 2.62 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | 🟨 | Nicolas Bruneel · Dunkerque |
| 22' | 🟨 | Ismaël Diallo · Ajaccio |
| 41' | 🟨 | Harouna Sy · Dunkerque |
| 54' | 🟨 | Cedric Avinel · Ajaccio |
| 56' | 🟨 | Redouane Kerrouche · Dunkerque |
| 61' | 🟨 | Redouane Kerrouche · Dunkerque |
| 61' | 🟥 | Redouane Kerrouche · Dunkerque |
| 69' | 🟨 | Gaëtan Courtet · Ajaccio |
| 72' | ⚽ (pen) | Mickaël Barreto · Ajaccio |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 6 |
| 7 | On target | 1 |
| 7 | Corners | 1 |
| 29 | Fouls | 23 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ajaccio | Dunkerque |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | — |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | — |
| venue | Stade François Coty |
| coach days | 91.00 | 152.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | — |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | — |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | — |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | — |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.79 | — |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | — |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | — |
| elo | 1463.80 | 1507.02 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -27.08 | — |
| eye test v1 | -0.44 | -0.95 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.09 | — |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.20 | 66.25 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | — |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | — |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | — |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | — |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | — |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | — |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.79 |
| league points | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.00 | 71.25 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.20 | 40.75 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| season ppg | 0.25 | 1.75 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | — |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | — |
| skill v1 | 0.43 | -1.14 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | — |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.75 |
| squad age | 28.57 | 26.52 |
| state index | -0.44 | -0.07 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.93 | -0.09 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | — |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.14 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.16 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | — |