← Ligue 2 2020 · Sat, Sep 26, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: Florent Batta, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen win | 38% | 2.60 |
| Draw | 33% | 3.00 |
| Valenciennes win | 29% | 3.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valenciennes +0.25 | 56% | 1.80 |
| Caen +0.25 | 44% | 2.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.50 |
| Over | 37% | 2.71 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | ⚽ | Emmanuel Ntim · Valenciennes |
| 32' | 🟨 | Sessi D'Almeida · Valenciennes |
| 43' | 🟨 | Julien Masson · Valenciennes |
| 43' | 🟨 | Anthony Gonçalves · Caen |
| 44' | 🟨 | Maxime Spano · Valenciennes |
| 44' | 🟨 | Jessy Deminguet · Caen |
| 88' | 🟨 | Jérôme Prior · Valenciennes |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 10 |
| 2 | On target | 1 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 17 | Fouls | 19 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Valenciennes | Caen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.46 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stade du Hainaut |
| coach days | 483.00 | 361.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.57 | 1.70 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.02 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1479.76 | 1509.76 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 24.08 | 16.74 |
| eye test v1 | -0.02 | -0.05 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.36 | -0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.50 | 59.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.37 | 1.40 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.82 | 0.72 |
| league points | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.60 | 76.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.60 | 44.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 8.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.25 | -0.41 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 25.18 | 27.80 |
| state index | 0.32 | 0.24 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.51 | 0.00 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |