← Ligue 2 2020 · Sat, Sep 26, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: Mathieu Vernice, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Toulouse FC win | 38% | 2.63 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.96 |
| AJ Auxerre win | 29% | 3.30 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AJ Auxerre −0.25 | 56% | 1.73 |
| Toulouse FC −0.25 | 44% | 2.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.51 |
| Over | 37% | 2.64 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 34' | 🟨 | Hamza Sakhi · AJ Auxerre |
| 43' | 🟨 | Branco van den Boomen · Toulouse FC |
| 58' | ⚽ | Mickaël Le Bihan · AJ Auxerre |
| 69' | ⚽ (pen) | Branco van den Boomen · Toulouse FC |
| 86' | ⚽ | Steven Moreira · Toulouse FC |
| 90' | 🟨 | Steven Moreira · Toulouse FC |
| 90' | ⚽ | Rhys Healey · Toulouse FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 18 |
| 7 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 23 | Fouls | 20 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Toulouse FC | AJ Auxerre |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.41 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| venue | Stadium de Toulouse |
| coach days | 117.00 | 453.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.12 | 2.37 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.39 |
| elo | 1422.94 | 1447.55 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -22.23 | 12.06 |
| eye test v1 | -0.23 | -0.76 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.47 | 0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.20 | 63.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.72 |
| league points | 2.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 20.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.20 | 80.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.00 | 49.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 4.76 |
| season ppg | 0.50 | 1.80 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.37 | 0.34 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 23.85 | 27.89 |
| state index | -1.37 | -0.22 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.43 | 0.54 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.20 |