← Ligue 2 2020 · Sat, Sep 19, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: Mathieu Vernice, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Paris FC win | 42% | 2.33 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.17 |
| Nancy win | 27% | 3.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nancy −0.25 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Paris FC −0.25 | 50% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 62% | 1.54 |
| Over | 38% | 2.56 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | 🟨 | Saliou Ciss · Nancy |
| 14' | 🟨 | Ousmane Kanté · Paris FC |
| 48' | 🟨 | Morgan Guilavogui · Paris FC |
| 66' | 🟨 | Souleymane Karamoko · Nancy |
| 70' | 🟨 | Ernest Seka · Nancy |
| 74' | ⚽ | Mickaël Biron · Nancy |
| 89' | 🟨 | Giovanni Haag · Nancy |
| 90' | ⚽ | Yanis Barka · Nancy |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 10 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 6 | Corners | 0 |
| 16 | Fouls | 19 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Paris FC | Nancy |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.53 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.23 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.40 |
| venue | Stade Sébastien-Charléty |
| coach days | 262.00 | 446.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.48 | 1.97 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1504.29 | 1435.57 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 53.30 | -26.03 |
| eye test v1 | -0.23 | -1.09 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.51 | 0.42 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.60 | 58.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 0.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.69 |
| league points | 9.00 | 1.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 11.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.00 | 74.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.40 | 52.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | — |
| season ppg | 3.00 | 0.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 9.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.28 | -0.03 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 2.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.20 |
| squad age | 29.08 | 27.30 |
| state index | 0.50 | -1.03 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.32 | 0.51 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |