← Ligue 2 2020 · Sat, Sep 19, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: Remi Landry, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Le Havre AC win | 49% | 2.06 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
| Niort win | 23% | 4.26 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Niort −0.5 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Le Havre AC −0.5 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.61 |
| Over | 40% | 2.39 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | 🟨 | Guy-Marcelin Kilama · Niort |
| 41' | 🟨 | Jamal Thiaré · Le Havre AC |
| 44' | 🟨 | Fernand Mayembo · Le Havre AC |
| 61' | 🟥 | Nolan Mbemba · Le Havre AC |
| 78' | 🟨 | Issouf Paro · Niort |
| 82' | 🟨 | Joris Moutachy · Niort |
| 90' | ⚽ | Olivier Kemen · Niort |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 14 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 16 | Fouls | 20 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Le Havre AC | Niort |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.42 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stade Océane |
| coach days | 446.00 | 110.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.71 | 1.62 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1545.10 | 1401.67 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 9.80 | 14.66 |
| eye test v1 | -0.80 | -0.42 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.56 | 0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.50 | 56.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.69 |
| league points | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.40 | 73.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.60 | 48.00 |
| rest days | 7.17 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 2.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -8.20 | 3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.04 | -0.46 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 26.60 | 23.75 |
| state index | 0.02 | -0.14 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.78 | -0.27 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.06 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |