← Ligue 2 2020 · Sat, Sep 19, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: Romain Lissorgue, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen win | 58% | 1.66 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.78 |
| Chambly Thelle FC win | 16% | 6.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen −0.75 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Chambly Thelle FC −0.75 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.61 |
| Over | 41% | 2.39 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | 🟨 | Jessy Deminguet · Caen |
| 22' | 🟨 | Anthony Gonçalves · Caen |
| 36' | 🟨 | Anthony Weber · Caen |
| 41' | 🟨 | Maxence Derrien · Chambly Thelle FC |
| 51' | 🟨 | Lassana Doucoure · Chambly Thelle FC |
| 72' | 🟨 | Yacine Bammou · Caen |
| 72' | 🟨 | Anthony Soubervie · Chambly Thelle FC |
| 73' | 🟨 | Yacine Bammou · Caen |
| 73' | 🟥 | Yacine Bammou · Caen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 9 |
| 1 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 19 | Fouls | 17 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Caen | Chambly Thelle FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.47 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.54 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stade Michel d'Ornano |
| coach days | 354.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.22 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 1.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.77 | 1.89 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.02 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.35 |
| elo | 1513.21 | 1448.24 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 32.24 | -24.43 |
| eye test v1 | 0.33 | -1.32 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.12 | -0.40 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.10 | 53.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.58 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.71 |
| league points | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.60 | 69.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.20 | 41.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 2.33 | 0.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -5.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 5.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.82 | -1.31 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 1.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 2.20 |
| squad age | 27.55 | 27.60 |
| state index | 0.53 | -0.70 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.54 | -0.00 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.13 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.14 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |