β Ligue 2 2020 Β· Sat, Sep 19, 01:00 PM UTC Β· ref: Pierre Gaillouste, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Clermont win | 49% | 1.98 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.39 |
| Toulouse FC win | 22% | 4.50 |
across 3 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Toulouse FC β0.5 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Clermont β0.5 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.61 |
| Over | 41% | 2.40 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | β½ (og) | Vakoun Issouf Bayo Β· Clermont |
| 36' | π¨ | Yohann Magnin Β· Clermont |
| 42' | π₯ | Arthur Desmas Β· Clermont |
| 46' | π¨ | Janis Antiste Β· Toulouse FC |
| 53' | π¨ | Jim Allevinah Β· Clermont |
| 88' | β½ | Janis Antiste Β· Toulouse FC |
| 89' | π₯ | Amine Adli Β· Toulouse FC |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 11 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 8 | Corners | 1 |
| 15 | Fouls | 19 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Clermont | Toulouse FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.21 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.24 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stade Gabriel Montpied |
| coach days | 3002.00 | 110.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.15 | 2.92 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1572.08 | 1417.44 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 20.79 | -35.01 |
| eye test v1 | -0.14 | -0.42 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.16 | 0.35 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.80 | 54.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.05 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.73 |
| league points | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 20.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.20 | 76.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.20 | 52.40 |
| rest days | 6.83 | 4.76 |
| season ppg | 1.67 | 0.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | 1.20 | 0.16 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 2.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 27.21 | 23.85 |
| state index | 0.62 | -1.53 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.99 | 0.02 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.20 |