← Ligue 2 2020 · Mon, Sep 14, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: Johan Hamel, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Toulouse FC win | 40% | 2.44 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.10 |
| Sochaux win | 29% | 3.45 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sochaux −0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Toulouse FC −0.25 | 47% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 62% | 1.56 |
| Over | 38% | 2.52 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | 🟨 | Amine Adli · Toulouse FC |
| 26' | 🟨 | Bryan Soumaré · Sochaux |
| 38' | 🟨 | Chris Bedia · Sochaux |
| 61' | 🟨 | Pape Paye · Sochaux |
| 65' | 🟨 | Kelvin Amian · Toulouse FC |
| 79' | 🟨 | Steve Ambri · Sochaux |
| 90' | 🟨 | Rhys Healey · Toulouse FC |
| 90' | 🟨 | Rassoul Ndiaye · Sochaux |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 5 |
| 3 | On target | 1 |
| 3 | Corners | 7 |
| 20 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Toulouse FC | Sochaux |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.46 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| venue | Stadium de Toulouse |
| coach days | 105.00 | 653.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.99 | 2.42 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1417.76 | 1466.71 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -39.06 | 33.89 |
| eye test v1 | -0.70 | -0.45 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.22 | 0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.00 | 54.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 0.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.10 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.58 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 20.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.80 | 77.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.60 | 45.60 |
| rest days | 16.07 | 16.07 |
| season ppg | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.16 | -0.19 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 23.41 | 26.60 |
| state index | -1.77 | 0.21 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.15 | -0.13 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |