← Ligue 2 2020 · Sat, Sep 12, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: Pierre Gaillouste, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen win | 34% | 2.93 |
| Rodez win | 34% | 2.96 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen +0 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Rodez +0 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 64% | 1.50 |
| Over | 36% | 2.68 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | ⚽ | Nicholas Gioacchini · Caen |
| 26' | 🟨 | Anthony Weber · Caen |
| 49' | 🟨 | Nassim Ouammou · Rodez |
| 52' | 🟨 | Joris Chougrani · Rodez |
| 67' | ⚽ | Yacine Bammou · Caen |
| 74' | 🟨 | Yacine Bammou · Caen |
| 84' | 🟨 | Benjamin Jeannot · Caen |
| 89' | ⚽ | Jessy Deminguet · Caen |
| 90' | 🟥 | Jordan Leborgne · Rodez |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 12 |
| 1 | On target | 8 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rodez | Caen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.63 | 0.50 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.55 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.80 |
| venue | Stade Paul Lignon |
| coach days | 1900.00 | 347.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.00 | 1.87 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1456.97 | 1494.58 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 14.42 | 39.49 |
| eye test v1 | -0.63 | 0.25 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.51 | -0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 68.40 | 60.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.51 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.72 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.80 | 73.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.00 | 44.80 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 14.17 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.80 | -3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.00 | -0.69 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.70 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 26.12 | 27.58 |
| state index | -0.13 | 0.41 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.12 | -0.16 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.14 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |